When will the COVID-19 pandemic officially end? Complex, experts say – National

According to the World Health Organization, the global health emergency caused by COVID-19 is far from over, but determining how to measure the end of the pandemic is not a simple equation, according to experts.

At a briefing on Thursday, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said COVID-19 remains a global health emergency and that combating it requires continued vigilance and diligence. I made it clear that

“I said the pandemic is not over, but the end is in sight. Both are true,” Tedros said. “Being able to see the end does not mean we are at the end.”

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Weekly deaths are now only 10% of the global peak in January 2021, and two-thirds of the world’s population, including three-quarters of health care workers and the elderly, I have been vaccinated and this is all a positive sign. said Tedros.

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But 10,000 people still die from the disease every week, and if these deaths are preventable, 10,000 is too many, he added.

“We’ve been in a long, dark tunnel for two and a half years, and we’re just beginning to see the light of the end, but we’re not there yet.

“We are still in the tunnel and can only get to the end by focusing on the road ahead and moving forward with purpose and care.”

The debate over whether the pandemic is still active ignited late last week when US President Joe Biden declared in an interview on Sunday that “the pandemic is over.”

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Biden’s comments come after the WHO said last week that the end of the coronavirus pandemic was in sight, noting that weekly death tolls have been declining globally in recent weeks.

Maria Van Kerkhove, WHO’s technical director on COVID-19, said on Thursday that the UN agency did not actually declare COVID-19 a “pandemic” in February 2020, but instead called the virus “a matter of international concern.” It has been declared a public health emergency,” he said. Recommendations of the WHO Emergency Committee.

That committee is currently in active debate about what criteria should be used to determine when COVID-19 is no longer an emergency.

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“There are many factors that must be taken into account, but these are still being debated and we will look at what is happening on a global level and what is happening in each country with the virus itself, along with the epidemiology.” she said.

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Isaac Bogoch, an infectious disease specialist at Toronto General Hospital, says it turns out there is no official outline for how to accurately determine the end of the global pandemic.

“You can’t get a rigorous and quick definition like you can have different people define it in different ways.”

However, in 2017 the WHO issued a risk management guidance document focusing on how to manage an influenza pandemic, which it describes as an “unpredictable but recurring event”.

This document, which is used in many countries, including Canada, as a framework to guide COVID-19 risk assessment and response, identifies four phases of the global influenza health emergency: interpandemic, alert , pandemics, transitions.

In his 2020 book, About the pandemicepidemiologist and recipient of the Order of Canada, David Walter Tows, said the WHO document was “like we are during an ice age whenever we are not in a pandemic, during a pandemic.” I am assuming that you are in

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Click to play video: 'Canada 'trying to find a way to live' with COVID-19, but doesn't say pandemic is over: Netherlands'

Canada ‘trying to find a way to live’ with COVID-19, but won’t say pandemic is over: Netherlands

Canada ‘trying to find a way to live’ with COVID-19, but won’t say pandemic is over: Netherlands

“Although they are designed to control human influenza, the WHO phases are applicable to all infectious diseases,” he wrote in his book.

“Our future has no stage other than pandemics. We have always lived through pandemics and always will.”

It is problematic for a country to declare this particular pandemic “over,” Walter Tose said in an interview.

“What[Biden]is trying to say is that we’ve come out of this emergency where everything is closed, borders are closed and all this kind of stuff has to be managed. I think,’ he said.

In 2019, the federal government issued and subsequently updated the “Public Health Response Plan for the Continued Management of COVID-19” document. This included the WHO phases of the pandemic and broad goals and objectives for each phase.

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Ottawa has not officially said which of those stages it believes the country is in at this time, but Health Minister Jean-Yves Duclos said Wednesday that he does not believe the pandemic is over yet. rice field.

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“If anyone is unsure if the pandemic is over, I encourage them to take a walk in the hospital and see what happens. told reporters in French.

Health Canada said in a statement that the Commonwealth of Canada will “use a comprehensive, hierarchical We are taking a proactive approach,” he added.

While it’s fair to admit that Canada is now in a more positive position, unnecessary and preventable deaths continue despite Canadians having vaccines that can prevent these outcomes. Bogotch said yes.

However, Canada, like other countries, has dismantled much of its testing and vaccine infrastructure, which could help further the country’s recovery, he said.

Click to play video: 'It's too early for COVID-19 to 'fall into a seasonal pattern', virus continues to evolve': WHO

Too early for COVID-19 to ‘fall into a seasonal pattern’, virus still evolving: WHO

Too early for COVID-19 to ‘fall into a seasonal pattern’, virus is still evolving: WHO – 7 September 2022

“During the initial rollout of the first and second vaccines, we bent heaven and earth to bring vaccines to communities wrongfully affected by the virus … we got vaccines to people, We didn’t get vaccines to people,” Bogotsch said.

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“There is a lot to be desired, but if we really want to reduce the suffering of COVID-19, we want to prevent deaths and greatly reduce the burden on the health care system, especially in the north, where the colder winter months are coming. It’s coming, Hemisphere, you do it.

Meanwhile, the virus is still widespread, constantly mutating and remaining unpredictable, making it difficult to declare victory.

“This virus is with us and we must manage it responsibly,” she said.

“We are working to end the emergency in all countries because this is a global problem. We need to end this on a global level.”

© 2022 Global News, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.

When will the COVID-19 pandemic officially end? Complex, experts say – National

Source link When will the COVID-19 pandemic officially end? Complex, experts say – National

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