Canada

StatCan predicts Canada’s population to reach 57 million by 2068

As Canada’s population tends to grow and age in the coming decades amid rising immigration and low birth rates, experts say these trends will have a major impact on our housing and healthcare needs. He said it would have an impact.

Canada’s population could reach 47.8 million in 2043 and 56.5 million by 2068, according to a Statistics Canada report released Monday. In other population projection scenarios, Canada’s population could grow from 44.9 million to 74 million in 2068.

However, StatCan’s report notes that this could affect housing availability. Last June, Canada’s Mortgage and Housing Authority reported that while the country’s housing stock is projected to grow by 2.3 million units over the next decade, Canada will have an additional 3.5 million affordable housing units by 2030. said that it is necessary.

Mike Moffat, a professor at Western University’s Ivey School of Business and senior director of the Smart Prosperity Institute, said the report shows that Canada’s housing supply “is not good enough to keep up with its growing population.” says.

“I’m sure we should be able to plan for this level of growth that we know of. It would definitely be difficult to accommodate that many people,” he told CTV News in a Wednesday telephone interview. “We need to make sure we build homes in all price ranges to accommodate our growing population,” he told ca.

StatCan projections predict that growth will be unevenly distributed across the country. Alberta is projected to have the fastest growth in the country as the province’s population is expected to grow by 31-61% in 2043 compared to today. In some scenarios Wildrose is projected to have a larger population than her BC.

“Alberta has done a pretty good job of building enough housing for its growing population. Alberta has grown very quickly over the last few decades and has been able to sustain its housing supply. There were issues with land use and environmental issues, but from a sheer numbers standpoint they were able to do it,” Moffat said.

Population growth in British Columbia, Ontario and Saskatchewan is projected to grow by about 14-40% by 2043, according to analysis. Manitoba’s population is expected to grow by 11-40%, while Quebec’s population is estimated to grow by 12-19%.

Moffat believes Ontario and British Columbia are the least prepared to deal with impending growth, given the worst housing shortages.

“I don’t think most states should have too much trouble dealing with this[population growth]. The only ones I’m worried about are mainly Ontario and British Columbia.” Moffat said.

Meanwhile, Atlantic Canada’s population could decline by 1.5% or increase by up to 16% by 2043, the report says. Newfoundland and Labrador is the only state with negative population growth projected in all forecast scenarios. The region’s population growth rate is expected to be around 8-28%.

More than a quarter of Canadians will be over 65 by 2068

Currently, 18.5% of Canadians are over 65. However, in a medium growth scenario, StatCan predicts that the proportion of older people will increase to 23.1% in 2043 and 25.9% in 2068.

The average age in Canada was 41.7 in 2021 and is expected to increase to 45.1 by 2068.

Canada’s population is growing, but according to StatCan, the national fertility rate will reach a record low of 1.4 in 2020 and is expected to decline in the coming years. Instead, immigration is the main driver of population growth, although StatCan points out that immigration “cannot significantly increase the proportion of young people in the population.”

Experts say these figures underscore the need to make sure federal and state governments have plans to meet the medical needs of the aging population.

Susan McDaniel, a professor of sociology at the University of Victoria, said in a telephone interview with CTVNews.ca, “This is not sudden. The idea of ​​planning for an aging population is an ice age progression. It’s clearly possible,” he said.

“What we need is a better system for treating chronic conditions like arthritis that don’t require hospitalization, but can lead to mobility impairments that can be mild or severe. There is,” she added.

Canada’s aging population will add $93 billion to provincial health care costs, according to a 2018 report from the Canadian Council of Congress. It also costs the public health care system $12,000 a year to meet the health needs of the average senior, compared to $2,700 for the rest of the population, the report says. .

Dr. Samir Sinha, director of geriatrics at Mount Sinai Hospital in Toronto, says that when Canada’s universal health care system was launched in 1966, the average age and life expectancy in Canada was much younger.

“In 1966, the average Canadian age was about 27, and most Canadians were not living past their 60s,” he told CTVNews.ca by phone Wednesday. “We designed the modern healthcare system to meet the needs of a much younger generation.”

“Pharmaceuticals and other forms of care such as pharmaceutical care, dental care, home care and long-term care were not included in our overall health care system. That means people are really dependent on doctors and hospital care,” Sinha added.

StatCan predicts Canada’s population to reach 57 million by 2068

Source link StatCan predicts Canada’s population to reach 57 million by 2068

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