Greater Victoria could see 485,000 inhabitants by 2041 – Victoria News

Depending on the scenario, Victoria could have a population of 485,000 by 2041.

The forecast is based on data released by Statistics Canada in September on demographic projections to 2041. According to the 2021 Census, Victoria’s Census metropolitan area had a population of 397,237. The projected figure of 485,000 — projected to increase by 22% within 20 years — represents one of three possible scenarios, the high immigration scenario.

Two other scenarios also show significant but smaller increases. Under a low immigration scenario, the Victoria CMA will reach a population of 457,000 by 2041. The reference scenario, which serves as a starting point for both high and low immigration scenarios, projects a future population of 473,000. Overall, projections identify immigration, not fertility, as the main driver of population growth.

These projections do not elaborate on where these additional people will live within Greater Victoria, but they will help the region grow in the form of economic growth and greater social vitality in the face of the region’s low fertility rate. clearly shows the further growth of and top-heavy age pyramids, but also drawbacks in the form of environmental impacts, infrastructure strains and social pathologies.

That said, the 22% increase over 20 years would represent a gradual slope. By contrast, Langford’s population surged nearly 32% between 2016 and 2021.

The forecast also predicts that Victoria will become a more diverse place. Using a high immigration scenario, StatCan predicts that by 2041, 125,000 residents will belong to racialized groups. That’s just under 26% of the future population. In 2016, approximately 14% of Greater Victoria’s population fell into the visible minority category.

This category includes persons who belong to one of the visible minority groups as defined in the Employment Equality Act. The law defines a visible minority as “a non-Aboriginal person who is not of white race or of white skin color”. According to StatCan, South Asians, Chinese, Blacks, Filipinos, Latinos, Arabs, Southeast Asians, West Asians, Koreans and Japanese are the main visible minority groups.

In other words, Greater Victoria becomes more diverse as it grows. That said, the trend towards diversity will be greater in other communities. The nine CMAs, including the Vancouver and Abbotsford missions in British Columbia, are more diverse than the country as a whole, with Victoria well below the national forecast rate, but one remaining CMA in British Columbia. ahead of Kelowna, which is

Overall, StatCan projected Canada’s population to reach 47.7 million in 2041 under the reference and almost 50 million under the high immigration scenario. British Columbia’s population, in a high immigration scenario he would exceed 7 million.

Regardless of the scenario, Canada will become a more diverse country. Demographers predict that about half of Canada’s population will consist of immigrants and their Canadian-born children. About one in four was born in Asia or Africa, and her two Canadians in five belong to a racialized group.

Immigration continues to be concentrated in Canada’s three largest metropolitan areas (Montreal, Toronto, and Vancouver from east to west), and StatCan predicts that four out of five Torontons will be foreign-born or born to immigrant parents. I’m here.

Do you have any story tips? Email:

Please follow us twitter and Like us on Instagram and Facebook!

Greater VictoriaSaanich PeninsulaWest Shore

Greater Victoria could see 485,000 inhabitants by 2041 – Victoria News

Source link Greater Victoria could see 485,000 inhabitants by 2041 – Victoria News

Related Articles

Back to top button