The NFL’s Week 3 kicked off Thursday night with Cleveland’s 29-17 win over Pittsburgh.
Six more division matches are scheduled for this week’s schedule, including the expected matchup between the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins at the AFC East, with two high scores in Week 2. An impressive win with a total of 83 points.
Both the favourites (Browns -4.5) and overs (37.5) hit Thursday. Overall, the underdog is 18-14-1 against the spread (ATS), with two-thirds of the games (22-11) finishing less than total.
Let’s take a look at the board for Week 3. You’ll see betting lines, totals, tidbits, as well as weekly picks and parlays.
spread and total
New Orleans Saints (-2.5) vs. Carolina Panthers (+2.5) | Over/Under: 40.5
Houston Texans (+2.5) vs. Chicago Bears (-2.5) | Over/Under: 39.5
Kansas City Chiefs (-5.5) vs. Indianapolis Colts (+5.5) | Over/Under: 50.5
Buffalo Bills (-5.5) vs. Miami Dolphins (+5.5) | Over/Under: 52.5
Detroit Lions (+5.5) vs. Minnesota Vikings (-5.5) | Over/Under: 52.5
Baltimore Ravens (-2.5) vs. New England Patriots (+2.5) | Over/Under: 44.5
Cincinnati Bengals (-6.0) vs. New York Jets (+6.0) | Over/Under: 43.5
Las Vegas Raiders (-1.5) vs. Tennessee Titans (+1.5) | Over/Under: 45.5
Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) vs Washington Commanders (+6.5) | Over/Under: 47.5
Jacksonville Jaguars (N/A) vs. Los Angeles Chargers (N/A) | Over/Under: N/A
Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) vs. Arizona Cardinals (+3.5) | Over/Under: 48.5
Atlanta Falcons (+1.0) vs. Seattle Seahawks (-1.0) | Over/Under: 41.5
Green Bay Packers (+1.5) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5) | Over/Under: 41.5
San Francisco 49ers (-1.5) vs. Denver Broncos (+1.5) | Over/Under: 43.5
Dallas Cowboys (+1.0) vs. New York Giants (-1.0) | Over/Under: 39.5
As noted above, the oddsmakers expect the Week 3 slate to be fairly competitive with spreads not exceeding 6.5 points.
The Chiefs, Bills, Ravens, Saints, Bengals, Raiders, Eagles, Rams and 49ers are visiting teams laying the choke this week. Road favorites are 8-5-1 during the season.
The Chargers subtracted hooks from converted touchdowns Friday afternoon after Chase Daniel acquired first team rep until the team announced QB Justin Herbert would be a game time decision. (-7.0) was the biggest listed favorite of the week.
Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes is 6-0 with 15 TDs and 2 INTs playing in the Dome while he plays for the Colts. Indy is expected to bring back receiver Michael Pittman in a 24-0 loss to the Jaguars.
Will this be the last time we see Aaron Rodgers vs. Tom Brady face off?
Buffalo allowed less than 150 passing yards per game and received over 290 yards last week alone against dynamic Miami duo Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have allowed more of his 1 pass attempts (8.7) than any team this season.
Denver is the most penalized team in both total penalties and penalty yards. Broncos coach Nathaniel Hackett and Panthers’ Matt Rule could already be feeling the pressure.
Washington’s Carson Wentz currently ranks second in passing yards, tying for the league leader with seven passing TDs in two games. He will face the Eagles, the team that drafted him 2nd overall in 2016, for the first time in his career.
Cowboys’ Micah Parsons didn’t record a sack against the Giants during his incredible rookie season, but he can wreak havoc on Daniel Jones in primetime Monday night mosquito?
MIKEY J’S CARD…
(Share your Sunday/Monday slate picks and track records every week throughout the regular season. You can follow or fade responsibly throughout the season. Overall record so far in 2022: 10-16)
I hope you dilute my Week 2 picks now that you’ve made bank! It looks like Matt Ryan is at the start of 2022. It didn’t boost confidence that he finished two of his three highest-scoring games of the week under par. But just as his QB for the Colts aims to bounce back against a formidable opponent in the week. 3. Aim for a bounce with a formidable board.
Favorite ATS (3-4): 49ers -1.5, Raiders -1.5, Rams -3.5, Chiefs -5.5
Underdog ATS (2-3): Packers +1.5, Cowboys +1.0, Dolphins +5.5
Over (1-3): BUF/MIA 52.5, LV/TEN 45.5
Under (1-3): HOU/CHI 39.5, DAL/NYG 39.5, GB/TB 41.5
Moneyline Dogs (2-3): packers, cowboys
Hill, Stephon Diggs, and Waddle ranked 1/2/3 respectively in NFL receiving yards this year, and after both teams posted 40 burgers in Week 2, I think this game lives up to its exciting potential. Mostly I want it to work. The Bills also have some significant defensive injuries.
A 5.5-point dog against the Chiefs, the Colts have a ratline smell. Sniff Sniff Ravens -2.5 is different. Over 70% of him in the public are on both the Chiefs and Ravens, but those lines have shifted to the Colts and Patriots throughout his week. The Ravens-Patriots are a dog-or-pass situation for me, but much like the masses, I have a hard time imagining this Colts team shutting down the Mahomes. I understand that, but I’m making it anyway!
(Falcons star WR Calvin Ridley has been suspended for betting on games for the entire 2022 campaign. The NFL has ruled out that he has three multi-leg parley bets (3, 5), including a Falcons victory. , 8-game parlay).In the regular season, try to win a Ridley-inspired 3-level parlay.2022 record: 0-6 after two weeks)
OK, friends, this could be one! Expectations are very low for the Falcons this season, with only a few weeks on the schedule I’ve circled as a chance of a win. Week 3 against Seattle is the first week of that. Atlanta had a 4th quarter battle against the Rams but fell 0-2 on the season. There is legitimate optimism that the Falcons can take their first win of the year. We hitch the wagon with last year’s Super Bowl finalists to complete the first level.
Ridley Purley Level 1 (+330): Falcon (-105), Ram (-180), Bengal (-240)
Ridley Purley Level 2 (+941): Falcons (-105), Rams (-180), Bengals (-240), Eagles (-290), 49ers (-125)
Ridley Purley Level 3 (+5668): Falcons (-105), Rams (-180), Bengals (-240), Eagles (-290), 49ers (-125), Vikings (-260), Packers (+100), Cowboys (+100)
Weekly Ridley Confidence Level…
Are the Bills and Chiefs your favorites for dangerous roads?
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